Service Plays Sunday 12/5/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

The Rx.com will not tolerate posters that post false records of any services they track. Please be truthful if you decide to track a particular service.

Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




TheRX.com Policy on Posting Handicapper Plays:
In the poster agreement that all posters agree to when signing up, posters have agreed to NOT post copyrighted information.
Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

We have received requests from the following companies:
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-------

****Please note we can post ONLY Picks for the services above - NO WRITE - UPS. All other services not on this list can be posted in any fashion. GL!​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

D eano NFL

10* lions
5* colts
5* ravens

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NFL

Sunday, December 5, 2010
MIAMI 24, Cleveland 15
GREEN BAY 26, San Francisco 10
KANSAS CITY 37, Denver 22
MINNESOTA 24, Buffalo 19
Chicago 31, DETROIT 14
Jacksonville vs. TENNESSEE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
N.Y. GIANTS 28, Washington 21
New Orleans 30, CINCINNATI 18
Atlanta 22, TAMPA BAY 18
SAN DIEGO 34, Oakland 15
SEATTLE 25, Carolina 17
St. Louis 28, ARIZONA 19
INDIANAPOLIS 29, Dallas 24
BALTIMORE 23, Pittsburgh 16

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DUNKEL NFL

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 5
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST (12/1)
Game 341-342: Buffalo at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 132.189; Minnesota 129.938
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 2; 47
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 6; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+6); Over

Game 343-344: Cleveland at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 130.569; Miami 137.321
Dunkel Line: Miami by 7; 39
Vegas Line: Miami by 4; 43
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-4); Under

Game 345-346: Jacksonville at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 130.507; Tennessee 128.103
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 2 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+3); N/A

Game 347-348: Denver at Kansas City (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 121.117; Kansas City 133.550
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 12 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 7 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-7 1/2); Under

Game 349-350; Washington at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 128.142; NY Giants 132.479
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 4 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 7; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+7); Over

Game 351-352: Chicago at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 137.500; Detroit 128.879
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 8 1/2; 30
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3); Under

Game 353-354: San Francisco at Green Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 129.445; Green Bay 136.255
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 7; 47
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 10; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+10); Over

Game 355-356: New Orleans at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 137.538; Cincinnati 125.320
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 12; 43
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 6 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-6 1/2); Under

Game 357-358: Atlanta at Tampa Bay (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 135.598; Tampa Bay 136.634
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 47
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+3); Over

Game 359-360: Oakland at San Diego (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 125.144; San Diego 139.732;
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 14 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: San Diego by 12 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-12 1/2); Over

Game 361-362: Carolina at Seattle (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 120.652; Seattle 124.715
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 4; 35
Vegas Line: Seattle by 6; 40
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+6); Under

Game 363-364: Dallas at Indianapolis (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 132.376; Indianapolis 135.243
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 3; 45
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 5 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+5 1/2); Under

Game 365-366: St. Louis at Arizona (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 126.490; Arizona 120.277
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 6; 49
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 3; 43
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-3); Over

Game 367-368: Pittsburgh at Baltimore (8:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 135.286; Baltimore 136.364
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 44
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3; 40
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Doc Sports- NFL Weekend

Vikings
Bucs

 

[pizza]

AL DEMARCO on philly daily news live
BEARS -4`
SEAHAWKS -6
RAVENS -3

nfl best bet KANSAS CITY -8`
pay back time for KC

 

[Mosi]

Colin Cowherd ESPN

New Orleans -
New England -
Green Bay -
Tampa Bay +

 

[dettim]

NFL Sunday

NYG -7.0


GB -9.5


ATL -3.0


SD OVER 45.00

STL -3.0

IND -5.0

BAL -3.0

MNF

NE -3.5

GL Guys,
det tim


​

 

[CHANCE]

Week 13 Hilton Contest
(TOP play: 9-2-1)

1. Chicago (105)
2. St Louis (96)
3. Buffalo (79)
4. Tampa (72)

==============

TOP play (Net): 10-2

St Louis (64)

======================

Top Contestant (39-19-2)
Buffalo / NY Giants / Chicago / San Fran / Cincy

Bottom Contestant(s) (60 plays)
(21-37-2): Denver / New Orleans / Tampa / St Louis / Baltimore
(21-38-1): Minn / Chicago / New Orleans / Seattle / Baltimore

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lenny Del Genio
Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Reason: Play on Tampa Bay at 4:15 ET

Tampa Bay is our 25* NFC South Game of the Year

 

[jaychen]

JustinCover

20unit**Kansas city-7
20unit**Chicago Bears-5
20unit**Indianapolis-5
20unit**San deigo-13
30unit***Newyork Giant over-43
50unit*****Baltimore under-40****big Ticket******


5unit*La clipper+8
10unit**Toronto-2.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Statsystems nfl report 12/5/10

STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 12/5
NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________


***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NFL *****

***BUFFALO @ MINNESOTA (5.5, O/U 44) ***
-------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: Both these teams are out of contention but are still playing hard. The Bills were a dropped pass away from beating Pittsburgh at home last week, which would have been their third straight win. Their pass-happy offense could take advantage of an injury-plagued Vikings secondary. They’re 5-0-1 ATS over their last six. Minnesota could be without star running back Adrian Peterson (both ankles), but rookie Toby Gerhart isn’t a huge downgrade as the now runbased Vikings go against a terrible Buffalo rush defense. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Minnesota is 0-1 ATS (0-1 SU) vs. Buffalo (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.)

• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 20-8 ATS at home after a win by 6 or less points since 1992.
--MINNESOTA is 7-0 UNDER in weeks 10 through 13 over the L2 seasons.
--MINNESOTA is 9-1 UNDER at home off 1 or more consecutive unders over the L3 seasons.

--BUFFALO is 13-31 ATS away after covering the spread in 2 of last 3 games since 1992.
--BUFFALO is 31-51 ATS after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.
--BUFFALO is 22-10 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992.

• BETTING SYSTEM: Play On - Road teams - off a cover where the team lost as an underdog, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games, in the second half of the season.
(33-10 over the last 10 seasons.) (76.7%, +22 units. Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ _

*** CLEVELAND @ MIAMI (-5, O/U 43) ***
---------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: The Dolphins have been miserable at home this year (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS), but they might finally catch a break with the Browns coming to town. Cleveland will likely be without Colt McCoy again, forcing turnover-prone veteran Jake Delhomme into another start. They’ll be able to stack the box against Peyton Hillis. On top of that, Miami quarterback Chad Henne was solid in the win against Oakland in his return to the lineup last week, giving the Dolphins a significant advantage under center. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Miami is 0-2 ATS (0-2 SU) vs. Cleveland (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.)

• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--MIAMI is 28-10 UNDER vs. teams allowing <= 7.5 yds/pnt ret in the 2nd half of year since 1992.
--MIAMI is 10-2 OVER in home lined games over the L2 seasons.
--MIAMI is 8-1 OVER at home against conference opponents over the L2 seasons.

--Eric Mangini is 12-3 ATS vs. teams allowing >= 24 yds/kickoff return in 2nd half of season.
--Eric Mangini is 13-4 ATS away in the second half of the season.
--CLEVELAND is 9-2 against the 1H line in all lined games this season.

• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Against - Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 0.4 YPP) after 8+ games, after outgaining opp by 150 or more total yards in their previous game.
(26-6 since 1983.) (81.2%, +19.4 units. Rating = 4*)
__________________________________________

*** JACKSONVILLE @ TENNESSEE (-3, O/U 43.5) ***
---------------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: The Titans will try to stop the bleeding when they host Jacksonville. The possible return of QB Kerry Collins would help, as rookie Rusty Smith proved in Houston that he’s not ready for the NFL. Back in Week 6, the Titans dominated in a 30-3 win, a game in which David Garrard left early with a concussion and the Jags turned the ball over four times. A healthy Garrard should make a big difference in this rematch. The Titans have beaten Jacksonville in four of five, both SU and ATS. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Tennessee is 7-4 ATS (6-5 SU) vs. Jacksonville (4-1 ATS, 3-2 SU at home.)

• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--TENN is 8-1 ATS at home after failing to cover in 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992.
--TENN is 12-1 OVER against teams with a turnover margin of -1/game or worse since 1992.
--TENN is 13-3 OVER at home after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.

--JACKSONVILLE is 11-25 ATS in games played on a grass field over the L3 seasons.
--JACKSONVILLE is 6-17 ATS after gaining 200 or more rushing yards last game since 1992.
--JACKSONVILLE is 18-6 OVER away off a road loss since 1992.

• BETTING SYSTEM: Play On - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 - off a cover where the team lost as an underdog, in the second half of the season.
(34-7 since 1983.) (82.9%, +26.3 units. Rating = 4*)
_________________________________________

*** DENVER @ KANSAS CITY (-9, O/U 48.5) ***
---------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: There will be plenty of bad blood when these rivals meet again. In Week 10, the Broncos blew away K.C. 49-29 (and the game wasn’t that close), with Chiefs coach Todd Haley refusing to shake the hand of Denver coach Josh McDaniels after the game. The Chiefs have piled up 73 points in two blowout wins since. They’ll do everything they can to rub it in against a Denver team that has fallen on hard times again, losing two straight while allowing a combined 71 points to the Chargers and Rams. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Kansas City is 6-5 ATS (4-7 SU) vs. Denver (3-2 ATS, 3-2 SU at home.)

• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--KANSAS CITY is 11-2 ATS at home after gaining 200+ rushing yards last game since 1992.
--KANSAS CITY is 14-4 ATS at home after game where 60+ points were scored since 1992.
--KANSAS CITY is 10-2 ATS vs. teams allowing 235+ pass yards/game over the L3 seasons.

--DENVER is 1-11 ATS after a game where 50+ points were scored over the L3 seasons.
--DENVER is 0-9 ATS after allowing 400+ yards in previous game over the L3 seasons.
--DENVER is 9-22 ATS after the first month of the season over the L3 seasons.

• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Against - Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 0.4 YPP) after 8+ games, after outgaining opp by 150 or more total yards in their previous game.
(26-6 since 1983.) (81.2%, +19.4 units. Rating = 4*)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

STATSYSTEMS NFL REPORT 12/5/10 cont.

*** WASHINGTON @ NY GIANTS (-7, O/U 50) ***
-----------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: The Giants look to continue their recent dominance of the Redskins. New York has been ravaged by injuries, but the G-Men gutted out a comeback win over Jacksonville last week thanks to their strong defense. The most encouraging sign was that they didn’t add to their league-high turnover total. The Redskins have been unable to move the ball consistently, even against the weaker defenses on their schedule, and their defense remains one of the NFL’s worst. Since 2006, Washington is 1-7 SU and 1-6-1 ATS vs. the Giants. Series History – Last 5 seasons: NY Giants are 8-2 ATS (8-2 SU) vs. Washington (4-1 ATS, 4-1 SU at home.)

• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--NY GIANTS are 15-4 OVER against conference opponents over the L2 seasons.
--NY GIANTS are 9-1 OVER at home after 1 or more consecutive wins over the L3 seasons.
--NY GIANTS are 8-1 OVER versus division opponents over the L2 seasons.
--NY GIANTS are 24-9 UNDER vs. teams allowing >=4.5 rushing yards/carry since 1992.

--WASH is 32-14 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
--WASH is 23-9 UNDER away vs. teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.

• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Against - Road underdogs or pick - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% in the second half of the season.
(29-8 over the last 10 seasons.) (78.4%, +20.2 units. Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ __

*** CHICAGO (-4.5, O/U 43) @ DETROIT ***
----------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: The Bears seem to have turned a corner, and they have a great chance to stay hot when they visit Detroit. Chicago has gone conservative on offense, averaging 34 rushing attempts per game over their past four. With an improved running game and bend-but-don’t-break defense, the Bears are 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS in those games. In Week 1, Shaun Hill nearly led Detroit to a comeback win in Chicago. But the Lions have struggled of late, losing three in a row both SU and ATS. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Detroit is 5-6 ATS (2-9 SU) vs. Chicago (2-3 ATS, 1-4 SU at home.)

• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--DETROIT is 22-10 ATS off a home loss by 10 or more points since 1992.
--DETROIT is 14-4 ATS off a home blowout loss by 21 points or more since 1992.
--DETROIT is 29-13 OVER revenging a close loss by 7 points or less to opponent since 1992.

--CHICAGO is 7-26 ATS away in December games since 1992.
--CHICAGO is 9-1 UNDER away vs. teams allowing >=350 yds/gm in 2nd half of year since 1992.
--CHICAGO is 49-26 UNDER in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

• BETTING SYSTEM: Play On - Underdogs or pick - with a poor scoring defense - allowing 24 or more points/game, after 2 straight losses by 10 or more points.
(48-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.8%, +29.3 units. Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ __

*** SAN FRANCISCO @ GREEN BAY (-9, O/U 40.5) ***
-----------------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: The Packers are looking for a bounce-back victory against the lowly Niners. In losing at Atlanta, the Packers were hurt by a fumble on the 1-yard-line, but also by penalties. Green Bay is now 1-4 SU when they are flagged for 45-plus penalty yards, and 6-0 when they have 35 or less. In their last nine home games, the Pack are 8-1 SU and 6-2-1 ATS. The Niners are 0-5 SU in non-division games against NFC opponents this year. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Green Bay is 1-0 ATS (2-0 SU) vs. San Francisco (0-0 ATS, 1-0 SU at home.)

• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--GREEN BAY is 46-28 ATS in December games since 1992.
--GREEN BAY is 28-11 OVER after scoring 3 points or less in first half last game since 1992.
--GREEN BAY is 37-17 OVER vs. teams scoring 17 or less points/game since 1992.

--SAN FRANCISCO is 28-47 ATS away in games played on a grass field since 1992.
--SAN FRANCISCO is 38-22 UNDER vs. teams averaging 7+ passing yards/att. since 1992.
--SAN FRANCISCO is 140-92 over the 1H total against conference opponents since 1992.

• BETTING SYSTEM: Play On - Road underdogs or pick - after having won 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games.
(46-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.9%, +26.2 units. Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ _

*** NEW ORLEANS (-6.5, O/U 45) @ CINCINNATI ***
----------------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: The Saints were lucky to escape Dallas with a win on Thanksgiving, but things should be easier when they travel to Cincy. The Bengals are in shambles, playing arguably the sloppiest football in the league. Despite an up-and-down year, the Saints are 4-1 SU on the road this year and have covered in two of their past three away games. Meanwhile, the Bengals have lost four in a row SU and ATS at home. In the past calendar year, they’re an absolutely miserable 1-8 ATS in Cincinnati. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Cincinnati is 1-0 ATS (1-0 SU) vs. New Orleans (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.)

• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--CINCINNATI is 0-7 ATS after failing to cover in 3 of last 4 games over the L2 seasons.
--CINCINNATI is 5-13 ATS in games played on turf over the L2 seasons.
--CINCINNATI is 11-24 ATS after being outrushed by 100+ yards last game since 1992.

--NEW ORLEANS is 10-1 ATS in non-conference games over the L3 seasons.
--NEW ORLEANS is 4-15 ATS off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less since 1992.
--NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS away in non-conference games over the L3 seasons.

• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Against - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line - after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games, in December games.
(27-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.8%, +20.4 units. Rating = 4*)
__________________________________________________

*** ATLANTA (-3, O/U 44.5) @ TAMPA BAY ***
--------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: This may be Tampa’s last chance to catch Atlanta. In Week 9, the Falcons rode an efficient offense and a two Josh Freeman INTs to a 27-21 win. Even though Atlanta has beaten the Bucs SU four times in a row, they covered in just one of those games and have dropped six of seven ATS against Tampa. The Bucs haven’t played particularly well at home this year, going 2-3 ATS and 3-2 SU, and losing by a combined score of 69-19 to Pittsburgh and New Orleans, the only teams with winning records to come to Raymond James. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Tampa Bay is 7-4 ATS (5-6 SU) vs. Atlanta (2-3 ATS, 3-2 SU at home.)

• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--TAMPA is 0-7 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less over the L2 seasons.
--TAMPA is 1-8 ATS at home when playing with 6 or less days rest over the L2 seasons.
--TAMPA is 11-2 ATS at home vs. teams w/ a TO margin of +1/game or better since 1992.

--ATLANTA is 26-8 ATS away after allowing 400+ total yards in previous game since 1992.
--ATLANTA is 25-9 ATS away after allowing 6.5+ yards/play in previous game since 1992.
--ATLANTA is 8-1 OVER away against conference opponents over the L2 seasons.

• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Against - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line - after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games, in December games.
(27-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.8%, +20.4 units. Rating = 4*)
__________________________________________________

*** OAKLAND @ SAN DIEGO (-13, O/U 45) ***
--------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: The Chargers are starting to catch fire again, winning four in a row SU and ATS. They have cleaned up their special teams issues. The first time these teams met, the Raiders blocked two punts and added a fumble return TD in a fluky 35-27 victory. The Raiders couldn’t contain the Dolphins at home last week, and the Chargers are coming off a game in which they eliminated Indy’s running game and picked Peyton Manning off four times. The Chargers have beaten Oakland seven in a row SU at home, covering five of those wins. Series History – Last 5 seasons: San Diego is 7-4 ATS (10-1 SU) vs. Oakland (3-2 ATS, 5-0 SU at home.)

• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--SAN DIEGO is 26-5 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992.
--SAN DIEGO is 12-2 ATS at home after 4 or more consecutive wins ATS since 1992.
--SAN DIEGO is 23-10 ATS after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992.

--OAKLAND is 4-17 ATS after allowing 375+ total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1992.
--OAKLAND is 21-42 ATS in December games since 1992.
--OAKLAND is 8-21 ATS away in December games since 1992.

• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Against - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line - excellent passing team (>=265 PY/G) against an average passing defense (185-230 PY/G) after 8+ games, after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game.
(32-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.0%, +22.1 units. Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________

*** CAROLINA @ SEATTLE (-5, O/U 40) ***
----------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: Seattle may not be one of the NFL’s toughest places to play anymore (after all, the Seahawks have lost two straight at home while allowing 83 points), but Qwest Field noise should present plenty of problems for rookie QB Jimmy Clausen and the Carolina offense. The Panthers are 0-5 SU on the road this year and topped 20 points in just one of those games. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Seattle is 1-1 ATS (1-1 SU) vs. Carolina (1-0 ATS, 1-0 SU at home.)

• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--SEATTLE is 1-10 ATS after playing a game at home over the L2 seasons.
--SEATTLE is 20-7 ATS vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less poss min/gm since 1992.
--SEATTLE is 21-7 OVER at home after a loss by 14 or more points since 1992.

--CAROLINA is 43-18 ATS vs. teams who give up 24 or more points/game since 1992.
--CAROLINA is 41-20 ATS in December games since 1992.
--CAROLINA is 35-16 ATS vs. teams outscored by 6+ points/game on the year since 1992.

• BETTING SYSTEM: Play On - Road underdogs or pick - off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog, team with a losing record in the second half of the season.
(28-8 over the last 10 seasons.) (77.8%, +19.2 units. Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ _

*** DALLAS @ INDIANAPOLIS (-5.5, O/U 47.5) ***
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GAME BREAKDOWN: The Colts are in an unfamiliar position, having lost two in a row and three of four SU. But their two straight losses have come against the Pats and Chargers, two teams that match up well against Peyton Manning. Dallas’ weak pass defense does not. The Cowboys have played better of late, just missing out on a Thanksgiving day victory over the Saints. But they’ve lost four of six both SU and ATS on the road. Since losing their first two games at Lucas Oil Stadium back in 2008, Indy has never lost back-to-back at the Luke. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Indianapolis is 0-1 ATS (0-1 SU) vs. Dallas (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.)

• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
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--INDY is 9-1 ATS after gaining 275+ passing yards in 3 straight games over the L3 seasons.
--INDY is 11-28 ATS at home after gaining 99 or less rush yards in 2 straight since 1992.
--INDY is 14-31 ATS at home when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

--DALLAS is 3-20 ATS away after covering in 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.
--DALLAS is 7-23 ATS after dominating performance - 34+ min TOP, 24+ 1st downs since 1992.
--DALLAS is 8-0 OVER after the first month of the season this season.

• BETTING SYSTEM: Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points - after a loss by 10 or more points against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half.
(49-16 since 1983.) (75.4%, +31.4 units. Rating = 3*)
___________________________________________

*** ST LOUIS (-3.5, O/U 43.5) @ ARIZONA ***
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GAME BREAKDOWN: The Rams are looking to make their move in the NFC West, scoring a rare road win by beating Denver last week (St. Louis has lost 16 of 18 SU on the road, but 4-1 ATS away from home this year). The Rams have dropped three straight in the desert, outscored by a combined 113-39 score (of course, Arizona had Kurt Warner under center for each of those games). Larry Fitzgerald scored late in the fourth quarter when these two teams met in Week 1, helping the Cardinals spoil a solid debut by Sam Bradford in a 17-13 victory. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Arizona is 7-4 ATS (9-2 SU) vs. St Louis (3-2 ATS, 3-2 SU at home.)

• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS vs. teams allowing 235+ passing yards/game over the L2 seasons.
--ARIZONA is 21-37 ATS vs. teams averaging 5.7 or less passing yards/att. since 1992.
--ARIZONA is 19-7 ATS at home vs. teams allowing >=5.65 yards/play since 1992.

--ST LOUIS is 7-26 ATS revenging a same season loss against opponent since 1992.
--ST LOUIS is 20-39 ATS off a non-conference game since 1992.
--ST LOUIS is 5-15 ATS after allowing 375+ total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1992.

• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Over - Any team against the total - after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after 2 straight losses by 10 or more points.
(31-7 over the last 10 seasons.) (81.6%, +23.3 units. Rating = 4*)
__________________________________________________ __

*** PITTSBURGH @ BALTIMORE (-3, O/U 39.5) ***
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GAME BREAKDOWN: The NFL’s nastiest rivalry is revived in Baltimore. In two of their past three meetings, Pittsburgh has started a back-up QB (Dennis Dixon in Baltimore last November, Charlie Batch in Week 4 this year), losing both games SU. The last time Baltimore beat Ben Roethlisberger was Christmas Eve 2006; including postseason, Big Ben is 5-0 SU and 3-1-1 against the Ravens since then. With the Ravens defense less than dominant this year, they need Joe Flacco to repeat the solid performance he had in Pittsburgh in Week 4. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Baltimore is 7-4 ATS (6-6 SU) vs. Pittsburgh (3-2 ATS, 4-1 SU at home.)

• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--BALTIMORE is 50-31 ATS as a home favorite since 1992.
--BALTIMORE is 34-19 ATS off a non-conference game since 1992.
--BALTIMORE is 23-10 ATS at home in December games since 1992.

--PITTSBURGH is 37-16 ATS vs. teams averaging 7+ passing yards/att. since 1992.
--PITTSBURGH is 15-4 OVER after having won 2 of last 3 games over the L3 seasons.
--PITTSBURGH is 8-1 OVER vs. teams averaging less than 7.5 yds/pnt ret over L2 seasons.

• BETTING SYSTEM: Play On - All teams where the line is +3 to -3 - revenging a loss against opponent, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(33-9 over the last 10 seasons.) (78.6%, +23.1 units. Rating = 3*)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BIG AL MCMORDIE

4* GAME OF THE MONTH* Detroit Lions
4* Dallas/Indianapolis UNDER
3* Oakland Raiders
3* Cincinnati Bengals
3* Tampa Bay Buccaneers
OPINION* Cleveland Browns
OPINION* NE Patriots
OPINION* Washington Redskins

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JASON SHARPE
NFL: Week 13

NFL UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR
6 UNIT*Arizona Cardinals +3.5

REGULAR PLAYS
4 UNIT*Tampa Bay Bucs +3
4 UNIT*Tennessee Titans -3
3 UNIT*Cincinnati Bengals +6.5
3 UNIT*Denver Broncos +9

MONDAY PLAY
5 UNIT*New York Jets +3.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SIXTH SENSE

BEST BETS

YTD 40-34-1 +6.90% (39-35-1 +0.60% with Sports Monitor)

3% CLEVELAND +4.5
3% NY GIANTS -7 No higher than -7
3% CAROLINA +5.5
3% DALLAS +5.5
3% PITTSBURGH +3
3% ST LOUIS/ARIZONA OVER 43

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PREDICTION MACHINE

Saint Louis Rams -3.5
Carolina Panthers +6
Chicago Bears -3.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NORM HITZGES

NFL
DOUBLE PLAYS
· Dallas +5.5 vs Indy
· KC -8.5 vs Denver
· New Orleans -6.5 vs Cincy
· San Diego -13 vs Oakland

SINGLE PLAYS
· Cleveland +4.5 vs Miami
· NY Giants -7 vs Washington
· St. Louis -3.5 vs Arizona
· Baltimore -3 vs Pittsburgh
· KC/Denver Over 48.5
· Tampa Bay/Atlanta Over 44.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NELLY'S NFL TOTALS ( 10-2 ) :

Totals: Denver/Kansas City OVER

 

[carv96]

Justincover
20unit**Kansas city-7
20unit**Chicago Bears-5
20unit**Indianapolis-5
20unit**San deigo-13
30unit***Newyork Giant over-43
50unit*****Baltimore under-40****big Ticket******


5unit*La clipper+8
10unit**Toronto-2.5